Opportunity Check

OPPORTUNITY CHECK

Cottsway Housing Association Limited

OPPORTUNITY VERDICT: VERY HIGH

BEST PURA OPPORTUNITY: External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

WHY: 4 independent signal(s) from 1 independent source(s) support the assessment. Facts, inference and unknowns remain separate.

EVIDENCE
4 independent signal(s)
1 independent source(s)

PURA FIT
Workflow · Reporting · Business Process Automation · Integration-led workflow improvement

LIKELY BUYER
Cottsway Housing Association Limited

PROCUREMENT ROUTE
KNOWN — PROCUREMENT / PERMITTED_DIRECT_EMAIL

INITIAL COMMERCIAL OFFER
£8,500 + VAT prototype

TIME TO CASH
FAST

TENDER LIKELIHOOD
HIGH

NEXT BEST ACTION: P016 verifies the original buyer need, procurement window, eligibility and permitted route. Pre-tender evidence is research; it does not establish current approval, receiver START or SEND authority.

Retained assessment recommendation — not current authority

Wait for buyer response; do not auto-follow-up

Original wording is preserved as history; it is not a new approval, execution instruction or receiver receipt.

CURRENT STAGE: PRE_TENDER · UNDECIDED

WHAT HAPPENED: 4 independent signal(s) from 1 independent source(s) support the assessment. Facts, inference and unknowns remain separate.

WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW: 4 independent signals from 1 sources; last checked 2026-09-09T18:48:01.539890+00:00.

ACTION OWNER: ANDREW

BLOCKER: Opportunity Check evidence is retained intelligence; internal qualification only. External contact, submission and commitment remain separately gated.

NEXT ACTION: P016 verifies the original buyer need, procurement window, eligibility and permitted route. Pre-tender evidence is research; it does not establish current approval, receiver START or SEND authority.

COMMERCIAL DECISION

Approval authorises safe internal progression only. External send, submission and commitment remain separately gated.

Current decision receipt: UNKNOWN — no qualified event matches this entity, evidence revision and current decision.

Decision history — latest 20 retained events

UNKNOWN — no immutable decision event recorded.

These are P016 internal decision receipts; receiver admission, START, SEND and foreign canonical decisions remain separate.

WHY THIS COMPANY

4 independent signal(s) from 1 independent source(s) support the assessment. Facts, inference and unknowns remain separate.

WHAT PROBLEM WE SEE

External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

WHAT PURA COULD SELL

£8,500 + VAT prototype · Workflow · Reporting · Business Process Automation · Integration-led workflow improvement

WHO MAY BUY IT

Cottsway Housing Association Limited

WHAT EVIDENCE SUPPORTS IT

4 independent signal(s) from 1 source(s)

WHAT IS UNKNOWN

DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT · contract end · contract start · current supplier · extension options · renewal window

HOW WE COULD APPROACH

DIRECT_PROTOTYPE · intelligence only; existing outbound gates still apply.

HOW LONG TO CASH

FAST

WHAT MIGHT BECOME A TENDER

PRE_TENDER · HIGH likelihood.

WHAT WOULD STRENGTHEN THE CASE

A second independent public source · A current buyer or budget decision · A confirmed procurement or renewal window

WHAT WOULD KILL THE CASE

Evidence shows the requirement is awarded or closed · No governed Pura capability fits the evidenced problem · A mandatory delivery or procurement constraint makes the route non-viable

FUTURE PROCUREMENT WINDOW

CLASSIFICATION
LIKELY

CURRENT SUPPLIER
UNKNOWN

CONTRACT START / END
UNKNOWN / UNKNOWN

EXTENSIONS
UNKNOWN

RENEWAL WINDOW
UNKNOWN

PRIOR REFERENCE
https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/procurement/ocds-h6vhtk-055ea3

APPROXIMATE VALUE
Published budget was about GBP 50,000 per year over an expected multi-year service period

FRAMEWORK
UNKNOWN

LIKELY RETENDER
UNKNOWN

UNDERLYING SCORES

ACCESSIBILITY
4 / 4
Route permission: PERMITTED_DIRECT_EMAIL

BUDGET EVIDENCE
3 / 4
Published value/budget evidence retained

BUYER EVIDENCE
4 / 4
Named buyer and route retained

COMPETITIVE PRESSURE
0 / 4
Higher score means lower evidenced competitive pressure

DELIVERY COMPLEXITY
3 / 4
Higher score means more bounded delivery

PROBLEM EVIDENCE
4 / 4
4 independent retained evidence identities

PROCUREMENT EVIDENCE
3 / 4
Public procurement/market evidence retained

PURA CAPABILITY FIT
4 / 4
Exact governed capability match: Workflow, Reporting, Business Process Automation, Integration-led workflow improvement

TIME TO CASH
4 / 4
Bounded authorised offer and route assessed

URGENCY
3 / 4
Currentness: LIKELY_CONTINUING_NEED

STRUCTURED EVIDENCE

MARKET ENGAGEMENTHIGH

The RFI deadline is closed and is not represented as open

SOURCE: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk · public evidence

OBSERVED: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00 · EVENT: UNKNOWN

INFERENCE: Potential Pura-addressable need: External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

UNKNOWNS: current supplier · contract start · contract end · extension options · renewal window · DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT

RESEARCH / MARKET SIGNAL — live actionable demand unverified · source freshness UNKNOWN

OPEN ORIGINAL SOURCE

Current accessibility UNVERIFIED — link retained; no live source check implied

Readable source details and context

Buyer: Cottsway Housing Association Limited
Captured need / service scope: The RFI deadline is closed and is not represented as open
Notice / signal type: MARKET_ENGAGEMENT
Publication: UNKNOWN
Event date (when retained): UNKNOWN
Deadline: UNKNOWN
Retained verification / observation clock — no new source check implied: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00
Location: UNKNOWN
Published value / budget / rate: UNKNOWN
Value meaning: UNKNOWN
Original reference: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk
Exact proposed next action: Retain and internally review this evidence; no contact authorised
Responsible project for source / qualification reporting: P016
Intended delivery project / receiver — acceptance unverified: P016

Retained source reference: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/procurement/ocds-h6vhtk-055ea3

Published value is not Pura revenue or an authorised commitment. Source status is separate from owner approval and receiver execution.

MARKET ENGAGEMENTHIGH

The July 2025 RFI explicitly sought external delivery instead of direct recruitment

SOURCE: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk · public evidence

OBSERVED: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00 · EVENT: 2025-07

INFERENCE: Potential Pura-addressable need: External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

UNKNOWNS: current supplier · contract start · contract end · extension options · renewal window · DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT

RESEARCH / MARKET SIGNAL — live actionable demand unverified · source freshness UNKNOWN

OPEN ORIGINAL SOURCE

Current accessibility UNVERIFIED — link retained; no live source check implied

Readable source details and context

Buyer: Cottsway Housing Association Limited
Captured need / service scope: The July 2025 RFI explicitly sought external delivery instead of direct recruitment
Notice / signal type: MARKET_ENGAGEMENT
Publication: UNKNOWN
Event date (when retained): 2025-07
Deadline: UNKNOWN
Retained verification / observation clock — no new source check implied: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00
Location: UNKNOWN
Published value / budget / rate: UNKNOWN
Value meaning: UNKNOWN
Original reference: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk
Exact proposed next action: Retain and internally review this evidence; no contact authorised
Responsible project for source / qualification reporting: P016
Intended delivery project / receiver — acceptance unverified: P016

Retained source reference: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/039649-2025

Published value is not Pura revenue or an authorised commitment. Source status is separate from owner approval and receiver execution.

BUDGET OR FUNDINGHIGH

Published budget was about GBP 50,000 per year over an expected multi-year service period

SOURCE: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk · public evidence

OBSERVED: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00 · EVENT: UNKNOWN

INFERENCE: Potential Pura-addressable need: External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

UNKNOWNS: current supplier · contract start · contract end · extension options · renewal window · DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT

RESEARCH / MARKET SIGNAL — live actionable demand unverified · source freshness UNKNOWN

OPEN ORIGINAL SOURCE

Current accessibility UNVERIFIED — link retained; no live source check implied

Readable source details and context

Buyer: Cottsway Housing Association Limited
Captured need / service scope: Published budget was about GBP 50,000 per year over an expected multi-year service period
Notice / signal type: BUDGET_OR_FUNDING
Publication: UNKNOWN
Event date (when retained): UNKNOWN
Deadline: UNKNOWN
Retained verification / observation clock — no new source check implied: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00
Location: UNKNOWN
Published value / budget / rate: UNKNOWN
Value meaning: UNKNOWN
Original reference: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk
Exact proposed next action: Retain and internally review this evidence; no contact authorised
Responsible project for source / qualification reporting: P016
Intended delivery project / receiver — acceptance unverified: P016

Retained source reference: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/039649-2025

Published value is not Pura revenue or an authorised commitment. Source status is separate from owner approval and receiver execution.

DATA QUALITY GAPHIGH

Published scope included Python/JavaScript business tools, APIs, SQL/reporting, ETL and data-quality monitoring

SOURCE: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk · public evidence

OBSERVED: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00 · EVENT: UNKNOWN

INFERENCE: Potential Pura-addressable need: External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality

UNKNOWNS: current supplier · contract start · contract end · extension options · renewal window · DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT

RESEARCH / MARKET SIGNAL — live actionable demand unverified · source freshness UNKNOWN

OPEN ORIGINAL SOURCE

Current accessibility UNVERIFIED — link retained; no live source check implied

Readable source details and context

Buyer: Cottsway Housing Association Limited
Captured need / service scope: Published scope included Python/JavaScript business tools, APIs, SQL/reporting, ETL and data-quality monitoring
Notice / signal type: DATA_QUALITY_GAP
Publication: UNKNOWN
Event date (when retained): UNKNOWN
Deadline: UNKNOWN
Retained verification / observation clock — no new source check implied: 2026-09-09T18:00:22+00:00
Location: UNKNOWN
Published value / budget / rate: UNKNOWN
Value meaning: UNKNOWN
Original reference: www.find-tender.service.gov.uk
Exact proposed next action: Retain and internally review this evidence; no contact authorised
Responsible project for source / qualification reporting: P016
Intended delivery project / receiver — acceptance unverified: P016

Retained source reference: https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/procurement/ocds-h6vhtk-055ea3

Published value is not Pura revenue or an authorised commitment. Source status is separate from owner approval and receiver execution.

Raw check record

{
  "id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
  "organisation_id": "7e493dbf-b2f0-5c53-8663-3efc9b60a780",
  "request_id": "890513e7-a54f-464b-9463-d44f15284868",
  "model_version": "P016-OPPORTUNITY-CHECK-v1",
  "evidence_digest": "281595d07d7f983483876458ddd0f37a4c3b5b3fb7dd3afd207c5b82686706c4",
  "verdict": "VERY HIGH",
  "best_pura_opportunity": "External software-development and data capability for business tools, API automation, SQL/reporting, ETL and data quality",
  "why": "4 independent signal(s) from 1 independent source(s) support the assessment. Facts, inference and unknowns remain separate.",
  "evidence_count": 4,
  "source_count": 1,
  "likely_buyer": "Cottsway Housing Association Limited",
  "procurement_route": "KNOWN \u2014 PROCUREMENT / PERMITTED_DIRECT_EMAIL",
  "initial_commercial_offer": "\u00a38,500 + VAT prototype",
  "time_to_cash": "FAST",
  "tender_likelihood": "HIGH",
  "next_best_action": "Wait for buyer response; do not auto-follow-up",
  "lifecycle": "PRE_TENDER",
  "best_route": "DIRECT_PROTOTYPE",
  "quick_cash_candidate": 0,
  "pre_tender": 1,
  "status": "COMPLETED",
  "is_current": 1,
  "checked_at": "2026-09-09T18:48:01.539890+00:00",
  "next_check_at": "2026-09-10T18:48:01.539890+00:00",
  "data_mode": "LIVE",
  "organisation": "Cottsway Housing Association Limited",
  "domain": "cottsway.co.uk",
  "pura_fit": {
    "capability_families": [
      "Workflow",
      "Reporting",
      "Business Process Automation",
      "Integration-led workflow improvement"
    ],
    "delivery_model": "PURA_ORGANISATIONAL_DELIVERY + AI_CODEX_GITHUB_ASSISTED",
    "model": "PASTE_035",
    "personal_skill_inference": "NONE"
  },
  "unknowns": [
    "DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT",
    "contract end",
    "contract start",
    "current supplier",
    "extension options",
    "renewal window"
  ],
  "strengthening_evidence": [
    "A second independent public source",
    "A current buyer or budget decision",
    "A confirmed procurement or renewal window"
  ],
  "kill_case": [
    "Evidence shows the requirement is awarded or closed",
    "No governed Pura capability fits the evidenced problem",
    "A mandatory delivery or procurement constraint makes the route non-viable"
  ],
  "scores": [
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "ACCESSIBILITY",
      "score": 4,
      "explanation": "Route permission: PERMITTED_DIRECT_EMAIL",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "BUDGET_EVIDENCE",
      "score": 3,
      "explanation": "Published value/budget evidence retained",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "BUYER_EVIDENCE",
      "score": 4,
      "explanation": "Named buyer and route retained",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "COMPETITIVE_PRESSURE",
      "score": 0,
      "explanation": "Higher score means lower evidenced competitive pressure",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "DELIVERY_COMPLEXITY",
      "score": 3,
      "explanation": "Higher score means more bounded delivery",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "PROBLEM_EVIDENCE",
      "score": 4,
      "explanation": "4 independent retained evidence identities",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "PROCUREMENT_EVIDENCE",
      "score": 3,
      "explanation": "Public procurement/market evidence retained",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "PURA_CAPABILITY_FIT",
      "score": 4,
      "explanation": "Exact governed capability match: Workflow, Reporting, Business Process Automation, Integration-led workflow improvement",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "TIME_TO_CASH",
      "score": 4,
      "explanation": "Bounded authorised offer and route assessed",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    },
    {
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "dimension": "URGENCY",
      "score": 3,
      "explanation": "Currentness: LIKELY_CONTINUING_NEED",
      "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]"
    }
  ],
  "pre_tender_record": {
    "id": "57405847-5c7d-4ead-affd-d5b915788bcc",
    "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
    "organisation_id": "7e493dbf-b2f0-5c53-8663-3efc9b60a780",
    "lifecycle": "PRE_TENDER",
    "position": "PRE-TENDER / EXPECTED PROCUREMENT",
    "procurement_expected": "EVIDENCED",
    "market_engagement_state": "CLOSED_OR_PRIOR",
    "live_tender_state": "NOT EVIDENCED",
    "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]",
    "unknowns_json": "[\"DUPLICATE_OR_PRIOR_CONTACT\",\"contract end\",\"contract start\",\"current supplier\",\"extension options\",\"renewal window\"]",
    "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T18:48:01.539890+00:00"
  },
  "procurement_window": {
    "id": "2b402940-41a1-4f10-8af3-a5fb9d0e1ded",
    "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
    "organisation_id": "7e493dbf-b2f0-5c53-8663-3efc9b60a780",
    "current_supplier": "UNKNOWN",
    "contract_start": null,
    "contract_end": null,
    "extension_options": "UNKNOWN",
    "renewal_window": "UNKNOWN",
    "prior_procurement_reference": "https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/procurement/ocds-h6vhtk-055ea3",
    "approximate_value": "Published budget was about GBP 50,000 per year over an expected multi-year service period",
    "framework_used": "UNKNOWN",
    "likely_retender_timing": "UNKNOWN",
    "future_procurement_window": "LIKELY",
    "evidence_json": "[\"14882099-8e87-51e7-ae6c-8a7535b7371c\",\"4714b416-1487-5b6a-9987-ddc426a8e0ed\",\"4fa89cc5-0295-5ab9-ba7b-431a9644d7db\",\"64f6b1a8-8a8c-54c5-b4d1-90d4f0df2b60\"]",
    "unknowns_json": "[\"current supplier\",\"contract start\",\"extension options\",\"exact renewal window\",\"contract end\"]",
    "recorded_at": "2026-09-09T18:48:01.539890+00:00"
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "id": "68718c81-b724-437e-a55f-8e8be881ae2e",
      "check_id": "ef876af9-e022-4169-ba28-f5127f39a6c5",
      "event_key": "d94c56caf0b2092c013628c4c775b77f42ce74363252effcd21d1e173410571c",
      "event_type": "CHECK_COMPLETED",
      "previous_lifecycle": null,
      "new_lifecycle": "PRE_TENDER",
      "reason_json": "{\"evidence_count\":4,\"source_count\":1,\"verdict\":\"VERY HIGH\"}",
      "occurred_at": "2026-09-09T18:48:01.539890+00:00"
    }
  ]
}